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The Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 have remained under intense pressure in recent days as concerns about the artificial intelligence (AI) sector persist. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) slumped to 28,840, its lowest level since September 16 and about 8% below this year’s peak. 

The Dow Jones has also retreated, falling to 52,220, a modest decline from its year-to-date high of 54,757. This article examines some of the top stock market news this week.

Earnings season is the main event

The main event that will move the stock market this week will be the earnings season, which will see hundreds of American companies publish their numbers. The most notable ones will be companies in the Magnificent Seven group, including popular names like Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Apple.

These companies are important because they account for a big share of the stock market as they have a market capitalization of over $15.2 trillion. They will also provide more hints on whether they will continue spending in the artificial intelligence sector. 

In addition to these companies, other big names like GE Vernova, KLA Corporation, SK Hynix, ServiceNow, Eli Lilly, Mastercard, and Intel will publish their earnings.

Federal Reserve interest rate decision

The other important catalyst for US stocks will be the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision on Wednesday. Economists expect the bank to leave interest rates unchanged between 3.75% and 4%.

Kevin Warsh has already hinted that the Fed will not deliver a second consecutive interest rate hike this meeting. Besides, recent data showed that the labor market softened last month, with the economy adding 29k jobs, much lower than the expected 90k.

The challenge, however, is that inflation has remained at an elevated level, with the headline and core CPI moving above 2% in the last five years. 

In addition to the Fed decision, the stock market will react to the upcoming macro data, including personal consumption expenditure (PCE), GDP, and consumer confidence. 

Soaring crude oil prices

The Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 indices will also react to the ongoing crude oil prices,with Brent trading at $117. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) has soared to $103 as investors anticipate another US strike against Iran. 

Recent reporting suggests that Trump aims to launch major attacks after next week’s midterm elections. Iran, on the other hand, has warned that it has more targets to attack, including desalination plants, data centers, airports, and energy infrastructure.

With the midterm elections over, there are concerns that Trump will aim to escalate to force Iranians to capitulate. Such a move will lead to higher oil prices, affecting the stock market.

AI jitters

The stock market has been under pressure recently because of the ongoing jitters on the artificial intelligence (AI) industry. Some popular analysts like Ken Griffin and Ray Dalio have warned about the sector, with Gartner flagging the divergence between AI spending and revenue. 

Gartner believes that impairments worth billions of dollars will be announced in the next few years. These jitters have pushed most AI stocks much lower, affecting the broader market. It has also led to a big increase in their dividend yields. Therefore, markets will react to any new developments on this.

The post Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 outlook: top stock market news for this week appeared first on Invezz

Updated Sunday 25 October 2026. IBM (NYSE: IBM) closed Friday 23 October at $253.56, up $1.45 or 0.58 percent, and was $253.00 after hours (StockAnalysis). The stock is 9.2 percent higher than a week ago and above the $251.46 it closed at on 21 October, the day it reported, even though it fell 5.11 percent after hours that night to $238.60 and opened the next session at $241.25 (Investing.com, StockAnalysis). The third quarter beat on every headline line: revenue $17.1 billion against $16.82 billion expected, operating EPS $2.95 against $2.86, software up 9 percent at constant currency, free cash flow $3.0 billion and the full-year free cash flow outlook raised to more than $1 billion of growth. What sold the stock was a revenue guide held at 4-5 percent, a quarter of the software growth coming from deals that slipped out of Q2, and chief executive Arvind Krishna saying large enterprises are asking “what is the true ROI of all of their AI spend”. Verdict: a $253.56 close is just above the $250.45 200-day average and within 1.5 percent of the $257.22 consensus target, so this week the shares trade on the Fed and on what Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon say about enterprise AI budgets rather than on IBM’s own numbers. Reference levels: $240 below, $269 above.

Key facts

  • Friday 23 October close: $253.56, up $1.45 or 0.58 percent, range $247.03-$254.71, volume 5.89 million, after hours $253.00. Market cap $239.6 billion, 52-week range $199.19-$332.46, 50-day average $233.04, 200-day average $250.45, trailing P/E 21.6, forward P/E 19.4, dividend $6.76 a year for a 2.67 percent yield, next ex-dividend date 10 November (StockAnalysis).
  • The week’s path: $232.14 on 16 October; $241.92 on 20 October; $251.46 on 21 October, up 3.94 percent into the print; after hours $238.60, down 5.11 percent; 22 October opened $241.25, low $240.00, high $256.30, closed $252.11, up 0.26 percent on 11.5 million shares; 23 October $253.56 (StockAnalysis, Investing.com).
  • Q3 2026 headline numbers: revenue $17.1 billion, up 5 percent as reported and 6 percent at constant currency; GAAP EPS $2.31, operating EPS $2.95, up 11 percent; GAAP gross margin 56.8 percent, operating gross margin 58.5 percent; adjusted EBITDA $4.9 billion, up 7 percent; free cash flow $3.0 billion in the quarter, up $0.7 billion, and $7.8 billion year to date, up 8 percent; cash $11.1 billion, debt $63.8 billion including $12.7 billion of financing debt (IBM 8-K, Investing.com).
  • Software, $7.8 billion, up 8 percent (9 percent constant currency): Hybrid Cloud and Red Hat up 11 percent, Data up 19 percent (20 percent constant currency), transaction processing up 10 percent, Automation down 3 percent; software ARR $24.9 billion, up 8 percent; OpenShift ARR up more than 30 percent; segment margin up 210 basis points. Confluent bookings grew about 20 percent and HashiCorp grew bookings in every geography (IBM 8-K, Investing.com, earnings call via Motley Fool).
  • Consulting, $5.3 billion, flat (2 percent constant currency): Strategy and Technology up 4 percent, Intelligent Operations flat; segment margin 12.2 percent, down 60 basis points; signings about $5 billion, down 2 percent, quarterly book-to-bill about 0.94 and trailing twelve months 1.04. AI was about 30 percent of consulting revenue in the quarter and 35 percent of backlog (CFO James Kavanaugh).
  • Infrastructure, $3.7 billion, up 4 percent (5 percent constant currency): Distributed Infrastructure up 32 percent, Hybrid Infrastructure up 9 percent, IBM Z down 19 percent as the z17 cycle matures, Infrastructure Support down 2 percent; segment margin up 120 basis points (Investing.com).
  • Guidance: full-year revenue growth held at 4-5 percent constant currency with currency now neutral; free cash flow growth raised to more than $1 billion year over year; operating pre-tax margin expansion of 100 basis points reiterated; software growth 7-8 percent for the year with about 7 percent the base case, up from 6-8 percent; transaction processing flat for the year with a moderation from Q3 into Q4; consulting a “modest acceleration to low to mid-single digit revenue growth for the year” (IBM 8-K, earnings call).
  • The caveats the market priced: Kavanaugh said about a quarter of the software growth came from the roughly $400 million of deals that slipped out of Q2, about two-thirds of which closed; BofA estimated the catch-up at about $250 million; UBS estimates organic software growth at about 1 percent once the catch-up and acquisitions are excluded, and calculates that the 100 basis point margin target implies about 180 basis points of Q4 expansion. Krishna said some enterprises are “getting worried if some of the AI spending completely out of control with no real return” and declined to discuss 2027: “Right now, we do not really want to comment on 2027 growth” (Investing.com, earnings call).
  • Targets after the print, 22 October: Goldman Sachs (James Schneider) Buy, $270 to $300; Jefferies Buy, $270 to $280; RBC (Matthew Swanson) Buy, $270; JPMorgan Overweight, $250 to $269; BMO (Keith Bachman) Hold, $230 to $265; Truist (Arvind Ramnani) Hold, $240 to $260; Stifel (David Grossman) Buy, $235 to $260; Baird Neutral, $260; Susquehanna Neutral, $235 to $256; UBS Neutral, $236 to $243. Morgan Stanley went to $238 Equal-weight on 15 October, before the print (StockAnalysis, GuruFocus, MarketBeat, ad-hoc-news).
  • Consensus: 25 analysts at StockAnalysis rate the stock Buy, with 9 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 11 Hold, 1 Sell and 1 Strong Sell; average target $257.22, median $260, high $300, low $174. 2026 consensus is $70.56 billion of revenue and $12.42 of EPS; 2027 $73.22 billion and $13.24 (StockAnalysis).

The sell-off that lasted one session

The after-hours tape on 21 October looked like a verdict: down 5.11 percent to $238.60 on a beat. By 12:45 pm ET the next day the stock was $248.72 and by the close it was $252.11, 65 cents above where it had been before anyone saw the numbers, on the heaviest volume of the week. Friday added another 0.58 percent. So the week’s story is not a sell-off but a repricing of what the beat was worth: enough to hold the $251 pre-print level, not enough to extend a run that had already taken the shares from $232.14 to $251.46 in the three sessions before the report. That matters for how to read the week ahead, because the stock now sits almost exactly on its 200-day average of $250.45 and within 1.5 percent of the Street’s average target, with the 50-day at $233.04 well below. The easy move, the one from oversold to fair, is done.

What the software number is worth

Nine percent constant-currency software growth is the best print IBM has shown since the Q2 stumble, and the company raised the low end of its full-year software guide to 7 percent from 6 percent on the back of it. The debate is how much of it repeats. Kavanaugh’s own split is that about three-quarters was net new business and a quarter was the Q2 slip deals; BofA puts the slip-deal catch-up at about $250 million, and UBS strips out both the catch-up and the acquired revenue from Confluent and HashiCorp to arrive at organic growth of about 1 percent. Transaction processing, the mainframe software line, grew 10 percent on z17 demand and Krishna himself expects “a moderation from 3Q going into the fourth quarter”, with the line flat for the full year. Red Hat at 11 percent and Data at 20 percent are the parts that need no asterisk, and OpenShift ARR growing more than 30 percent is the number the bulls will quote. UBS adds the 2027 problem: Confluent’s contribution laps in March 2027, after which software growth could fall below the roughly 7.5 percent the Street has pencilled in, and management has said only that it will quantify 2027 in January.

Consulting and the AI question

Consulting was flat as reported, up 2 percent in constant currency, with margin down 60 basis points to 12.2 percent and a quarterly book-to-bill below 1. AI is now 30 percent of consulting revenue and 35 percent of backlog, which is the point: IBM’s consulting arm is the part of the company most exposed to the budgets Krishna described when Jefferies’ Brent Thill asked about demand. His answer, that the largest enterprises are focused on “what is the true ROI of all of their AI spend” and that some worry spending is “completely out of control with no real return”, is the same message that has weighed on Palantir since Gartner’s forward-deployed-AI warning. It is also why this week’s calendar matters more to IBM than usual: Microsoft and Alphabet report after Wednesday’s close and Amazon after Thursday’s, and their cloud growth and capex lines are the clearest read the market gets on whether enterprise AI budgets are being cut or merely scrutinised. Our Amazon page sets out what AWS needs to show.

IBM stock this week: bull, base and bear

Scenario Level What has to happen Anchor
Bear $240 Microsoft, Alphabet or Amazon flag slower enterprise AI spending or guide capex in a way that reprices the whole group, a hawkish Warsh press conference lifts the 10-year back toward 5 percent, and the shares give back the post-results recovery. The $240.00 intraday low of 22 October, the session the after-hours drop was bought; also just below UBS’s $243 Neutral target. About 5.3 percent below Friday’s close and below the 200-day average.
Base $248-$258 The megacap prints confirm cloud demand without changing the AI-budget debate, the Fed holds as priced, and IBM trades around its 200-day average and the consensus target while the software-sustainability argument is unresolved. Friday’s $253.56 plus or minus about 2 percent, bracketing the $250.45 200-day average and the $257.22 average target (StockAnalysis).
Bull $269 Azure, Google Cloud and AWS growth re-accelerate and capex guides are taken as demand rather than excess, the 10-year eases after the Fed, and the Buy-rated houses’ targets pull the stock through the median $260. JPMorgan’s $269 Overweight target, just under RBC’s $270 and Goldman’s path to $300; about 6.1 percent above Friday’s close.

The bear case sits below Friday’s price. These are reference levels measured from the verified quotes and published targets, not forecasts.

What to watch this week

  • Wednesday 2 pm ET: the Fed. CME FedWatch prices a hold at 91-92 percent and a hike at 8-9 percent after September’s increase; Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference and the December language move a 2.67 percent-yielding stock with a 0.72 beta more than most.
  • Wednesday after the close: Microsoft and Alphabet. Azure and Google Cloud growth, capex guides and any comment on enterprise AI budgets are the read-across to IBM’s consulting backlog and Red Hat.
  • Thursday after the close: Amazon, with AWS the third cloud read; the same day brings Q3 GDP and September PCE.
  • $250.45 and $257.22: the 200-day average and the consensus target; the stock closed between them on Friday.
  • Further out: ex-dividend 10 November for the $1.69 quarterly payment; Q4 and full-year results tentatively 27 January 2027, when management has said it will quantify 2027, against a consensus of $4.62 EPS on $20.47 billion of revenue (Investing.com).

Quick take: IBM goes into Fed week at $253.56, up 9.2 percent in five sessions, after a Q3 beat whose after-hours sell-off was fully bought back within a day. The shares sit on the 200-day average and within 1.5 percent of the Street’s target, so the next move comes from Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon’s read on enterprise AI budgets and from Wednesday’s Fed. Strong cloud prints and a calm Warsh open $269; an AI-budget warning or a hawkish Fed opens $240.

FAQ

What is the IBM stock price today?

IBM closed at $253.56 on Friday 23 October 2026, up 0.58 percent, and was $253.00 after hours (StockAnalysis). Markets are closed on Sunday 25 October.

Did IBM beat earnings in Q3 2026?

Yes. Revenue was $17.1 billion against $16.82 billion expected and operating EPS $2.95 against $2.86. Software grew 9 percent at constant currency, free cash flow was $3.0 billion and the full-year free cash flow outlook was raised (IBM 8-K, Investing.com).

Why did IBM stock fall after earnings?

The shares fell 5.11 percent after hours on 21 October because the full-year revenue guide was held at 4-5 percent, about a quarter of the software growth came from deals delayed out of Q2, and Krishna described enterprises scrutinising the return on AI spending. The drop was bought the next day and the stock closed higher than before the report (Investing.com, StockAnalysis).

What are analysts’ price targets for IBM?

The StockAnalysis average is $257.22 across 25 analysts, median $260, with a $174-$300 range. After the print Goldman Sachs went to $300, Jefferies $280, RBC $270, JPMorgan $269, BMO $265, Truist, Stifel and Baird $260, Susquehanna $256 and UBS $243.

Is IBM’s software growth sustainable?

Management guides 7-8 percent for the year. About a quarter of Q3’s growth came from slipped Q2 deals, UBS estimates organic growth near 1 percent excluding that and acquisitions, and transaction processing is expected to moderate in Q4. Red Hat at 11 percent and Data at 20 percent are the organic drivers (earnings call, Investing.com).

What is IBM’s dividend and when is the next ex-dividend date?

$6.76 a year, or $1.69 a quarter, for a 2.67 percent yield at Friday’s close. The next ex-dividend date shown is 10 November 2026 (StockAnalysis).

When does IBM report next?

Q4 and full-year 2026 results are tentatively scheduled for 27 January 2027, when management has said it will quantify its 2027 outlook. Consensus is $4.62 of EPS on $20.47 billion of revenue (Investing.com).

Sources: StockAnalysis (closing, after-hours and daily history prices 16-23 October 2026, statistics, analyst consensus and target changes); IBM Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 (Q3 2026 results and outlook, 21 October); Investing.com (Q3 slides summary and after-hours move, 21 October; earnings analysis by Luke Juricic with UBS, BofA, Bernstein and consensus figures, 22 October); Motley Fool (Q3 2026 earnings call transcript: Krishna and Kavanaugh quotes); GuruFocus, MarketBeat and ad-hoc-news (Stifel, Baird, Susquehanna, JPMorgan, Jefferies and Morgan Stanley target changes, 15-22 October); CME FedWatch and Reuters poll (Fed probabilities, 24-25 October); Seeking Alpha, TradingKey and FXEmpire (week-ahead calendar: Fed, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, GDP, PCE).

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Stocks are volatile and you can lose money. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Cutting your daily latte to save money has become a personal-finance cliché.

In fact, it even has a name, “The Latte Factor,” taken from a book by author David Bach, who notes that the advice really isn’t about the coffee drink.

“This classic snippet of personal finance advice isn’t specifically anti-Starbucks. ‘Lattes’ are a metaphor for the tiny expenses that leak money from our pockets, often without us realizing how much we’re spending,” according to Bach, speaking on the Afford Anything podcast.

The math makes sense: Save $6 per day for 365 days a year, and you have $2,190. Do that for 10 years at a 6% interest rate, and you will end with $32,787.90. Make it 30 years, and you end up with $185,715.67.

In reality, however, coffee is about more than just caffeine. For me, it’s a valuable daily ritual, and even though I have a high-end espresso machine and make coffee most mornings, I also go to Starbucks nearly every day.

And while I enjoy that part of my day, Starbucks is not my only choice for coffee. So, although I’m not going to drop my daily drink (usually an almond milk shaken espresso), I thought it was worth exploring whether there were better, cheaper choices that might bring me just as much joy.

Coffee prices vary by chain

I visited a number of chains to compare the price of a medium iced vanilla latte. It’s important to remember that prices vary by location and that even two stores in the same chain might charge different amounts for the same item.

A Starbucks spokesperson shared some color on those nuances in an email exchange with TheStreet.

“Depending on the market, pricing varies. There are many factors that contribute to pricing decisions, including various rising operating and occupancy expenses (i.e., labor, rent, local mandates and regulations, competition, distribution, marketing, and commodities, including coffee, but also other commodities associated with beverages, food, materials, and operations),” the chain shared.

An informal poll of my coworkers across the country showed some variation in prices, but the range was within about $0.75, and my price was actually on the higher end of the range.

There are also some situations where prices are out of the chain’s control.

“In airports, hotels, and certain other non-traditional locations, Starbucks stores are often operated by licensed partners rather than Starbucks directly. Those operators determine their own pricing, which may also reflect airport or venue-specific fees, surcharges, and operating costs,” Starbucks added.

Starbucks prices vary by location.

Shutterstock

You can get a cheaper iced latte

For this test, I visited stores in the same South Florida market in an approximately 10-mile area. We ordered a medium iced vanilla latte as presented on the menu, which, in most cases, included whole milk as the default choice.

All visits were on Oct. 24, and calorie counts came either from the chain’s app, website, or in-store menu board. For the purpose of this comparison, we only went to chains where a person makes your coffee.

7-Eleven, Fresh Market, and other chains with machines that can make you a latte (albeit not an iced one) were not included.

Here’s how the chains stacked up:

  • Starbucks: $6.05, 190 calories
  • Dunkin’: $4.59, 170 calories
  • 7 Brew: $5.20, 260 calories
  • Wawa: $2.99, 140 calories
  • McDonald’s: $3.89, 200 calories (McDonald’s calls its latte an Iced Vanilla Coffee and makes it with light cream rather than whole milk)

Taste also matters when it comes to coffee

While I could save significant money getting my daily iced latte at Wawa, I did not enjoy the drink as much as the Starbucks version. That, of course, is very subjective.

For many people, the cheaper options might make sense. In my case, the only iced latte I enjoyed as much as the Starbucks version was one at 7 Brew. Dunkin’ and Wawa were, in my opinion, fine in a pinch, while I simply do not enjoy McDonald’s coffee and find its sweeteners too sweet.

As someone who has written about money, investing, and personal finance for decades, the savings aren’t worth the sacrifice in this case.

That doesn’t mean cutting or substituting your daily latte doesn’t work for some people, but in my case, there are likely other areas of spending I could cut back on that make more sense than giving up something I enjoy at the place I most enjoy it.

Related: McDonald’s changes its discount strategy

US stocks may have seen immense volatility lately but they are heading into the final quarter of 2026 after a strong run, with the S&P 500 on track for a fourth consecutive year of double-digit gains, according to BlackRock Fundamental Equities.

Such a streak has occurred only three times in the past 100 years, it says.

Carrie King, managing director and global chief investment officer of BlackRock Fundamental Equities, said historical patterns suggest a strong first three quarters more often precede further gains than a reversal during the final quarter.

The fourth quarter has also typically been the strongest period of the year for US equities.

However, King said investors must assess the specific economic and market conditions shaping the outlook rather than rely solely on historical trends.

Four questions are particularly relevant as investors position their portfolios for the remainder of 2026: whether artificial intelligence spending is generating returns, how long earnings growth can continue, where opportunities are emerging beyond AI and which international markets offer attractive prospects.

AI investment begins to show returns

BlackRock sees evidence that the enormous investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure is beginning to generate financial benefits.

The firm’s Global Technology team estimates that AI computing infrastructure investments by hyperscalers and AI cloud providers can now achieve payback in less than three years, compared with periods of up to four years just months ago.

Revenue growth at major cloud providers accelerated in the second quarter, with the growth rate twice that of the year-earlier period.

This suggests businesses are increasingly using AI services, helping justify continued investment in computing capacity.

The spending requirements remain substantial.

AI infrastructure investment is estimated to exceed $10 trillion by 2030 as demand for AI tokens and the computing power needed to generate them expands.

The benefits are also spreading beyond infrastructure providers.

The number of large-cap US companies citing AI-related financial improvements increased by 77% over the past year, according to the figures cited by BlackRock.

That trend suggests companies adopting AI are beginning to realise productivity gains, improve competitiveness and generate additional revenue, potentially sustaining the next phase of investment.

Earnings growth could support equities into 2027

Corporate earnings provide another source of support for the market outlook.

Consensus estimates point to the third consecutive year of double-digit earnings growth for the S&P 500 in 2026, a run not seen in two decades.

Early forecasts suggest the streak could extend into 2027.

Longer-term expectations are also elevated.

Five-year forward earnings growth estimates stand at 18%, compared with a historical average of 12%, according to BlackRock.

The outlook is constructive outside the US as well.

Europe is recording its strongest earnings growth in three years, while emerging markets are forecast to deliver earnings growth of nearly 50% in 2026.

South Korea and Taiwan, both beneficiaries of AI-related demand, are expected to contribute significantly to that performance.

The breadth of earnings growth matters because it could help reduce reliance on a narrow group of large technology companies to drive equity market returns.

Cyclical sectors offer opportunities beyond AI

BlackRock also sees a cyclical recovery developing in the US, creating opportunities in sectors that are not directly tied to artificial intelligence.

Industrials, financials and non-AI analogue semiconductors are showing signs of improvement.

While companies supplying equipment and services for AI data centres have attracted considerable investor attention, King sees improving earnings prospects in traditional cyclical businesses, including logistics, airlines and packaging.

Analogue semiconductor companies could benefit from an industrial recovery and improving inventory cycles.

Financial companies also have several potential tailwinds.

Major US banks are benefiting from investment banking, trading and capital markets activity, alongside subdued loan delinquencies and a recovery in loan growth from depressed levels.

Consumer finance companies could see earnings accelerate as credit conditions normalise, funding costs decline and consumer spending remains resilient.

These areas offer investors opportunities to participate in broader economic growth without concentrating their exposure entirely in AI-related stocks.

Japan and Europe provide diversification

Outside the US, BlackRock is particularly interested in Japan and Europe, which have delivered strong equity performance without relying on the same scale of AI investment driving US markets.

Japan’s year-to-date return stood at 21%, compared with gains of around 13% for both the US and Europe, according to the figures cited by BlackRock.

The country is undergoing structural reforms supported by government and corporate initiatives. BlackRock’s Japan team also finds that a substantial proportion of Japanese stocks continue to trade below book value, potentially creating opportunities for investors.

Specialty materials companies supplying the AI infrastructure buildout are another area of interest.

In Europe, improving earnings are being led by the energy sector.

The region has a greater share of companies positioned to benefit from rising investment in energy and infrastructure associated with AI development.

European companies also generate a significant portion of their revenue outside the continent, providing exposure to a broader range of economic drivers.

BlackRock sees European equities as a way to complement US technology-heavy portfolios, with European stocks trading at a 25% discount to their US counterparts.

BlackRock favours a risk-aware approach

Despite the constructive outlook, King cautioned that investors must remain alert to geopolitical uncertainty, Federal Reserve policy, the effects of higher interest rates on long-duration assets and the sustainability of earnings growth beyond AI.

The combination of elevated market expectations and concentrated investment in certain themes makes diversification and stock selection particularly important.

BlackRock’s position is to remain constructive on equities while acknowledging that volatility could persist through the fourth quarter and beyond.

The firm believes an active, fundamentals-driven investment approach can help investors navigate market fluctuations while seeking opportunities across sectors and regions.

The post S&P 500 eyes 4th straight year of double-digit gains, a rare feat in 100 years appeared first on Invezz

Cheap clothes are only a bargain if they actually show up.

That is the quiet trade-off behind ultra-low-price online shopping. The $9 price looks like a steal until the package is marked delivered and never reaches your door.

Most shoppers shrug it off. A few dollars feels too small to fight over, and chasing a refund through an overseas customer service chat can take longer than the order itself.

Plenty of shoppers keep coming back anyway, drawn by prices traditional stores can’t touch. Multiply those small losses by millions of orders, though, and they add up fast.

Federal regulators have been watching.

Now one of the world’s biggest online fashion sellers is paying to put an investigation behind it.

Shein has agreed to pay $100 million to settle a U.S. Federal Trade Commission probe into delivery delays and other customer complaints, Reuters reported on Oct. 23, citing a source with direct knowledge of the matter.

Shein said in a statement to Reuters that it had “reached a constructive outcome with the FTC” and would share more information soon. An FTC spokesperson declined to comment.

What the FTC investigated at Shein

The complaints were piling up for years. Consumers filed more than 12,000 complaints about Shein over more than $11 million in purchases from January 2020 to June 2026, according to FTC records reviewed by Reuters.

Some customers told the FTC and the Better Business Bureau that they “never received packages that Shein had marked as delivered,” Reuters reported. Reuters said it could not independently verify the complaints or whether they were resolved.

Related: Consumers could see lower prices, increased privacy, from FTC ruling

The $100 million is not pocket change for Shein. It equals about 44% of the company’s second-quarter profit, according to Reuters.

The full settlement terms have not been released. That means it’s still unclear how much, if any, of the money will go back to customers.

Will Shein customers get money back?

Nobody knows yet, and you shouldn’t assume you qualify until the official terms come out. FTC settlements don’t always include direct payments to shoppers.

Some do. In Amazon’s FTC settlement over Prime sign-ups, eligible customers could claim payments, with a claim deadline of July 27, TheStreet reported.

If the Shein deal does include refunds, the FTC typically announces how to claim on its website. Watch for that, and be wary of any email or text promising a Shein settlement payment if you click a link, since scammers often copy real settlements.

Shein to pay $100 million to settle an FTC probe after 12,000+ complaints involving $11 million+ in purchases.

Cheng Xin / Getty Images

How Shein’s fine compares with past FTC cases

The FTC has gone after online fashion sellers over shipping before, but never at this scale.

More Retail:

Here is how the reported Shein deal stacks up against earlier cases, according to Reuters:

  • Fashion Nova (2020): Paid $9.3 million for missing shipping promises and handing out gift cards instead of refunds.
  • Hey Dude (2023): Paid $1.95 million for failing to disclose shipping delays and suppressing negative reviews.
  • Shein (2026): Agreed to pay $100 million, according to Reuters’ source.

That jump in scale sends a message to every retailer that sells cheap goods shipped from overseas. Shipping promises are a legal obligation, not marketing copy.

Your rights if a Shein order never arrives

You don’t have to wait for the settlement details to protect yourself. The FTC’s Mail, Internet, or Telephone Order Merchandise Trade Regulation Rule already spells out what online sellers owe you.

If a seller doesn’t say when it will ship, the FTC’s rules presume shipment will be within 30 days, and merchants must normally be capable of shipping within 30 days, according to the FTC’s business guide to the rule.

If it can’t ship on time, the merchant must offer you the choice to either accept the delay or cancel. The notice must tell you that you “can cancel the order and obtain a full and prompt refund,” the guide says.

Refunds also have a deadline. For a card issued by a bank, the seller has seven working days after cancellation to send your money back, according to the FTC. Store credit or vouchers don’t count as a refund.

Here is what to do if an order goes missing:

  • Save everything. Keep order confirmations, tracking pages and any chat or email with customer service.
  • Ask for a refund in writing. Use Shein’s official refund process first, and note the date you asked.
  • Dispute the charge if needed. If the seller won’t fix it, contact your card issuer and ask about a billing dispute.
  • File a complaint. You can report problems to the FTC at ReportFraud.ftc.gov.

What the fine means for Shein investors

Shein, which was founded in China and is headquartered in Singapore, is now a public company, so the settlement lands on shareholders too. Its shares are down 22% from the Sept. 1 listing price in Hong Kong, Reuters reported.

The company had flagged this risk. Its Hong Kong IPO filings in July warned that the U.S. probe could lead to significant fines, according to Reuters.

Investors have bigger worries than one fine. New European Union fees on e-commerce packages have hurt Shein’s European business, Reuters reported.

Demand signals are soft too. App downloads across 10 markets fell 42% in September from a year earlier, according to Jefferies analysts cited by Reuters.

Regulators elsewhere are still circling. Shein remains under a European Commission investigation into illegal products on its marketplace, and France’s data protection authority fined it €150 million, or about $168 million, last year over its use of cookies, Reuters reported.

Why cheap shipping comes with a cost

This is the part I think matters most for your wallet. Ultra-low prices depend on long supply chains, and long supply chains make delays more likely.

That doesn’t mean you should stop shopping for deals. It means you should treat delivery promises as part of the price, and know that the law backs you when a seller misses them.

Before you check out, look at the estimated delivery window and screenshot it. If you need something by a set date, such as a wedding or a trip, a seller that ships from inside the U.S. may be worth a few extra dollars.

A $100 million settlement suggests regulators are taking those small, easy-to-ignore losses seriously. The cheapest order is still the one that actually arrives.

Related: 79-year-old fast-fashion retailer closes 128 stores

US stocks ended lower on Friday as losses spread beyond technology shares, while rising oil prices and renewed concerns over the US-Iran conflict added pressure to markets.

Investors also looked ahead to a busy week of corporate earnings and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest-rate decision.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.25%, or about 659 points, to 52,209.16.

The S&P 500 declined 0.52% to 7,623.86, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.21% to close at 25,955.34.

Despite Friday’s declines, the Dow gained 0.4% over the week. The S&P 500 fell 0.5%, while the Nasdaq lost 0.7%.

Oil prices rise as Middle East tensions weigh on stocks

Energy prices climbed as renewed concerns about the conflict involving the US, Israel and Iran raised the risk of further disruption to Middle Eastern oil supplies.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 3.8% to settle at $103.34 a barrel, while Brent crude gained 3.25% to $116.85. Brent’s settlement was its highest since April.

The rally followed reports that the US and Israel could be preparing plans for renewed attacks on Iran.

Iran has indicated that it is prepared to retaliate, adding to uncertainty over the conflict’s potential impact on energy markets.

The energy sector reached a record high on Friday, making it a notable exception to the broader market weakness.

However, higher oil prices also raised concerns about inflation and the potential pressure on household spending.

University of Michigan data showed US consumer sentiment slipped close to a record low in October as rising prices linked to the Middle East conflict weakened households’ views of the economy.

Dow stocks fall as weakness spreads beyond technology

Selling pressure extended across several sectors on Friday, including consumer staples, utilities and healthcare.

Financial stocks also weakened, contributing to the Dow’s decline.

American Express fell more than 3% after announcing plans to reduce its global workforce by about 5%, citing preparations for the growing use of artificial intelligence.

Caterpillar declined around 2%, while Goldman Sachs lost more than 1%.

Telecommunications stocks also came under pressure following a report that SpaceX was seeking access to thousands of cellular sites as it explores plans to become a fourth nationwide wireless carrier.

Technology shares were comparatively resilient after the previous session’s sell-off.

Microsoft edged higher, while Micron Technology gained 2.5% and Advanced Micro Devices rose 1.7%.

Investors have been reassessing the outlook for AI-related stocks amid concerns about the scale of borrowing required to finance data centres and the potential impact of higher interest rates.

However, recent corporate earnings have provided some support for the sector.

The 10-year US Treasury yield rose more than four basis points to around 4.999% on Friday, returning above the 5% level after briefly falling below it a day earlier.

Fed decision and Big Tech earnings in focus

Investors are preparing for a significant week of corporate results and monetary policy developments.

About one-third of S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report quarterly earnings next week, including Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon.

Their capital expenditure forecasts will be closely watched for indications of whether spending on AI infrastructure will continue to expand at its current pace.

LSEG IBES data indicated that S&P 500 companies were on track to increase earnings by more than 32% in the third quarter, supporting the broader market’s gains this year.

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at its Wednesday meeting.

Investors will nevertheless look for signals about whether policymakers could raise rates in December.

Markets are also monitoring the November 3 US midterm elections, which will determine control of Congress.

Together, corporate earnings, interest-rate expectations and geopolitical risks could shape the direction of US stocks in the coming week.

The post Dow falls 1.25% as oil tops $117 and investors await Fed, big tech earnings appeared first on Invezz

EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall further toward the next support level 1.1155 (which stopped the previous impulse wave 3 at the start of October).

  • EURUSD reversed from resistance zone
  • Likely to fall to support level 1.1155

EURUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 1.1250 (former support from the start of October, as can be seen from the daily EURUSD chart below), 20-day moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from the end of September. The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star, which stopped the earlier intermediate correction (2) and started the active minor impulse wave i of the intermediate impulse wave (3).

Given the clear daily downtrend and the bearish euro sentiment seen across the FX markets today on the weaker-than-expected eurozone PMI data, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall further toward the next support level 1.1155 (which stopped the previous impulse wave 3 at the start of October).

The subject matter and the content of this article are solely the views of the author. FinanceFeeds does not bear any legal responsibility for the content of this article and they do not reflect the viewpoint of FinanceFeeds or its editorial staff.

The information does not constitute advice or a recommendation on any course of action and does not take into account your personal circumstances, financial situation, or individual needs. We strongly recommend you seek independent professional advice or conduct your own independent research before acting upon any information contained in this article.

Kroger’s CEO Gregory Foran wants to simplify the company’s discounting system. That’s going to take time, and it won’t always mean lower prices, but his goal is clearly presented value, not being the cheapest grocery offering.

In reality, most grocery chains can’t compete with Walmart and Costco when it comes to overall pricing. That’s something Consumer Reports showed in an extensive study that used Walmart as the benchmark and found that only Costco, Aldi, Lidl, BJ’s Wholesale, H-E-B, and WinCo had lower prices than the retail giant.

That’s something my wife and I have also experienced in recent weeks researching price check stories for TheStreet.

We don’t have Kroger here in South Florida, but Publix, our regional grocery chain, was consistently higher on everyday prices. It does, however, offer buy-one-get-one (BOGO) deals that help bring our overall cart total closer to what we might spend at Walmart or Costco.

Speaking at a recent Kroger Investor Day, Foran promised to overhaul his company’s value promise and promotional offerings. In some cases, that means lower prices, but “simpler” will not always translate to cheaper.

Kroger shares its pricing plan

Foran shared that his overall goal is building “America’s favorite grocer,” and doing that, he said, “requires winning the customer in-store and online.”

“Value is where we start. That means sharper everyday prices and simpler promotions. Now we will pace this new customer value plan against the savings that fund it. And I can tell you that early customer response has reinforced our confidence in this approach. We’ll improve the customer experience,” he said.

Chief Marketing Officer Mary Adcock explained how the company plans to execute on its value plan.

She said that the chain’s first focus is “making value visible, lowering our everyday prices and making our promotions more simple and less complex.”

Adcock noted that approximately 95% of Kroger’s sales are tied to its loyalty customers.

“And through our proprietary analytics, we know what customers buy,” she added.

“Our data shows us three key things that are changing about the customer that inform the changes that I’m discussing with you today. First, customers respond to lower prices and simplified promotions. Second, customers are looking for more fresh offerings and more Kroger Our Brands. And third, customers want a connected experience across the store and e-commerce,” she shared.

Kroger wants to make pricing simple

Kroger isn’t promising to offer the lowest prices. Instead, the chain is pledging to put operational savings into lower prices while also making it easier for customers to understand its value proposition.

“Today, not enough of our customers understand the value Kroger offers. Just a few weeks ago, we got an e-mail from a customer that clearly outlined the complexity with three price points in one offer, clearly too complex, especially if you’re a customer that only wants to buy one item or doesn’t want to download the app. Now this is just one example,” Adcock said.

In many cases, she added, it wasn’t that Kroger wasn’t offering value, it’s that customers were not seeing it.

“More broadly, our customers have a point. When we’re on promotion, our items are very competitive, but our promotions are complex. And when we’re not on promotion, our everyday prices appear too high. So this is why we’re fundamentally changing our approach to make value more visible,” she added.

Kroger plans to keep some promotions, but that’s not the chain’s core plan when it comes to pricing.

“Going forward, we will reallocate value from the promotions into everyday shelf prices across the store and online. And we expect this to strengthen our relationship with our customers, which starts out with first more trips, then growing a larger share of our customers’ basket and then over time, growing new households to support our top line sales growth,” she shared.

Kroger is planning a slow rollout of its new prices.

Shutterstock

Kroger faces a Walmart and Costco problem

Parade.com’s Senior Food Editor Ni’Kesia Pannell is confident that Kroger can offer value while not being the cheapest option.

“As the largest traditional supermarket, Kroger’s attempt to become the top alternative seems like the right move especially with folks trying to cut back on as much as possible. Traditionally, Kroger isn’t the cheapest, but with this move, it can take over a space that has long been dominated by Walmart,” she told TheStreet.

She believes that Kroger can win by following Costco’s strategy of delivering value through house brands.

“Kroger has a number of private-label brands as well that range from cost-effective, everyday options to a premium tier as well as an organic line (the latter also serves as the largest organic and natural brand in the country). With all of that in mind as well as their multi-year pricing plan — and hopefully more brick and mortar storefronts across the nation, I can absolutely see them being the place shoppers flock to,” she added, albeit with a caveat.

“The one thing I don’t see, however, is it being able to be a replacement for Costco. Costco sells by bulk and offers top tier meats and more at relatively unbeatable prices. It would have to really get smarter about what it offers to become the option to choose over Costco,” she said.

RTM Nexus CEO Dominick Miserandino thinks that Kroger doesn’t need to be the cheapest to win.

“Kroger doesn’t have to beat Walmart, Costco, or Aldi on every price. It needs to be close enough that customers don’t feel they’re being penalized for shopping there. People will pay a little more for convenience, better selection and fresh food, but there’s a limit to how much more,” he told TheStreet.

Most Kroger customers won’t see major changes quickly.

“In aggregate, we expect to be able to invest $5 billion in value for our customers, which will be realized by 2029,” Adcock shared.

The pricing rollout has already been tested in some markets, but full adoption won’t happen across all banners and stores until 2029.

Related: Safeway supermarket chain closes underperforming stores